Prediction markets give Bitcoin just a 2% chance to hit $200K by 2026, a record low

Prediction markets show Bitcoin has just a 2% chance of reaching $200,000 by 2026, marking a record low for that forecast.

The subdued probability reflects tempered market expectations and a shift toward more conservative forecasts, according to the Crypto Briefing report. Analysts cite macroeconomic headwinds and regulatory uncertainty as key factors weighing on long‑term bets.